Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27 legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats in most surveys released in mid-September, aligning with the dominant trader pricing. The Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party has maintained this range despite internal factional adjustments to its candidate list and broader coalition turbulence over Haredi military exemptions. Projections for the Netanyahu-aligned bloc overall hover near 51–52 seats, leaving UTJ’s position stable as a reliable but limited component rather than a swing factor. Recent surplus-vote agreements and threshold dynamics have not materially altered its expected share, reinforcing the narrow band reflected in current market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7-8 82%
9-10 14%
11+ 5.1%
<7 3.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<7
3%
7-8
82%
9-10
14%
11+
5%
7-8 82%
9-10 14%
11+ 5.1%
<7 3.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<7
$1,057 KL.
3%
7-8
$2,959 KL.
82%
9-10
$289 KL.
14%
11+
$455 KL.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27 legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats in most surveys released in mid-September, aligning with the dominant trader pricing. The Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party has maintained this range despite internal factional adjustments to its candidate list and broader coalition turbulence over Haredi military exemptions. Projections for the Netanyahu-aligned bloc overall hover near 51–52 seats, leaving UTJ’s position stable as a reliable but limited component rather than a swing factor. Recent surplus-vote agreements and threshold dynamics have not materially altered its expected share, reinforcing the narrow band reflected in current market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,761Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27 legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats in most surveys released in mid-September, aligning with the dominant trader pricing. The Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party has maintained this range despite internal factional adjustments to its candidate list and broader coalition turbulence over Haredi military exemptions. Projections for the Netanyahu-aligned bloc overall hover near 51–52 seats, leaving UTJ’s position stable as a reliable but limited component rather than a swing factor. Recent surplus-vote agreements and threshold dynamics have not materially altered its expected share, reinforcing the narrow band reflected in current market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$4,761Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27 legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats in most surveys released in mid-September, aligning with the dominant trader pricing. The Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party has maintained this range despite internal factional adjustments to its candidate list and broader coalition turbulence over Haredi military exemptions. Projections for the Netanyahu-aligned bloc overall hover near 51–52 seats, leaving UTJ’s position stable as a reliable but limited component rather than a swing factor. Recent surplus-vote agreements and threshold dynamics have not materially altered its expected share, reinforcing the narrow band reflected in current market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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