Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle anchors New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+10 partisan voter index. Morelle’s comfortable 2024 reelection margin and lack of credible Republican opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries have produced stable trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned Morelle a lead role in New York redistricting efforts, further reinforcing party backing and visibility. While the outcome appears structurally locked, a late high-profile Republican recruit, personal scandal involving the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still alter probabilities before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$24,605 KL.
$24,605 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$24,605 KL.
$24,605 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,884 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$9,721 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle anchors New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+10 partisan voter index. Morelle’s comfortable 2024 reelection margin and lack of credible Republican opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries have produced stable trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned Morelle a lead role in New York redistricting efforts, further reinforcing party backing and visibility. While the outcome appears structurally locked, a late high-profile Republican recruit, personal scandal involving the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still alter probabilities before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,605Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle anchors New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+10 partisan voter index. Morelle’s comfortable 2024 reelection margin and lack of credible Republican opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries have produced stable trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned Morelle a lead role in New York redistricting efforts, further reinforcing party backing and visibility. While the outcome appears structurally locked, a late high-profile Republican recruit, personal scandal involving the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still alter probabilities before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,605Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle anchors New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+10 partisan voter index. Morelle’s comfortable 2024 reelection margin and lack of credible Republican opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries have produced stable trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned Morelle a lead role in New York redistricting efforts, further reinforcing party backing and visibility. While the outcome appears structurally locked, a late high-profile Republican recruit, personal scandal involving the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still alter probabilities before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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