Recent polling averages show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32%, with Sweden Democrats holding steady around 19-20% and the Moderate Party trailing at 17%, positioning SD to finish second on September 13. This gap has persisted through mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and others, reflecting limited movement in voter intentions for the right-leaning parties. The Tidö-supported government bloc continues to trail the centre-left opposition overall, while SD's sustained support as the largest non-governing party on the right underpins trader consensus on its ranking. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,846 KL.
$30,846 KL.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,846 KL.
$30,846 KL.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32%, with Sweden Democrats holding steady around 19-20% and the Moderate Party trailing at 17%, positioning SD to finish second on September 13. This gap has persisted through mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and others, reflecting limited movement in voter intentions for the right-leaning parties. The Tidö-supported government bloc continues to trail the centre-left opposition overall, while SD's sustained support as the largest non-governing party on the right underpins trader consensus on its ranking. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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