Recent SKDS polls through mid-July 2026 show a fragmented field ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with Apvienotais Saraksts (AS), Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) trading narrow leads in the mid-teens while the governing New Unity (JV) coalition trails. This volatility, combined with the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched as no party has established a durable edge. Trader consensus on the listed outcomes reflects uncertainty over which challenger can consolidate enough support to finish ahead of the pack, with late shifts in turnout among swing voters or minor parties crossing the threshold capable of reordering the final standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLPV 27%
SC 23%
ST! 22%
SV 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 3, 2026
LPV
27%
SC
23%
ST!
22%
SV
22%
ZZS
19%
AS
29%
GS
17%
JV
16%
PRO
26%
LA
10%
JKP
8%
NA
7%
MMN
6%
ASL
5%
LPV 27%
SC 23%
ST! 22%
SV 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 3, 2026
LPV
$79 KL.
27%
SC
$10 KL.
23%
ST!
$56 KL.
22%
SV
$36 KL.
22%
ZZS
$23 KL.
19%
AS
$68 KL.
29%
GS
$52 KL.
17%
JV
$56 KL.
16%
PRO
$48 KL.
26%
LA
$67 KL.
10%
JKP
$65 KL.
8%
NA
$36 KL.
7%
MMN
$36 KL.
6%
ASL
$62 KL.
5%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polls through mid-July 2026 show a fragmented field ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with Apvienotais Saraksts (AS), Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) trading narrow leads in the mid-teens while the governing New Unity (JV) coalition trails. This volatility, combined with the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched as no party has established a durable edge. Trader consensus on the listed outcomes reflects uncertainty over which challenger can consolidate enough support to finish ahead of the pack, with late shifts in turnout among swing voters or minor parties crossing the threshold capable of reordering the final standings.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Khối lượng
$695Ngày kết thúc
Oct 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polls through mid-July 2026 show a fragmented field ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with Apvienotais Saraksts (AS), Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) trading narrow leads in the mid-teens while the governing New Unity (JV) coalition trails. This volatility, combined with the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched as no party has established a durable edge. Trader consensus on the listed outcomes reflects uncertainty over which challenger can consolidate enough support to finish ahead of the pack, with late shifts in turnout among swing voters or minor parties crossing the threshold capable of reordering the final standings.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Khối lượng
$695Ngày kết thúc
Oct 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SKDS polls through mid-July 2026 show a fragmented field ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with Apvienotais Saraksts (AS), Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) trading narrow leads in the mid-teens while the governing New Unity (JV) coalition trails. This volatility, combined with the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched as no party has established a durable edge. Trader consensus on the listed outcomes reflects uncertainty over which challenger can consolidate enough support to finish ahead of the pack, with late shifts in turnout among swing voters or minor parties crossing the threshold capable of reordering the final standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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