Democrats currently hold a narrow 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate, with all 67 seats contested on November 3, 2026. Recent August primaries settled nominations across multiple districts without major shifts in the chamber's partisan balance. Fundraising data shows the DFL Senate Caucus maintaining an edge in cash reserves over Republican counterparts, while Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns have favored Democratic candidates in competitive races. Trader consensus pricing at 84.5% for a Democratic hold reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments that would alter the outlook, though the slim margin leaves room for targeted district-level swings driven by turnout or candidate performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?
Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Kiếm 3.25%
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Kiếm 3.25%
Democratic Party
$261 KL.
85%
Republican Party
$192 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Minnesota State Senate in the 2026 Minnesota midterm election.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold a narrow 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate, with all 67 seats contested on November 3, 2026. Recent August primaries settled nominations across multiple districts without major shifts in the chamber's partisan balance. Fundraising data shows the DFL Senate Caucus maintaining an edge in cash reserves over Republican counterparts, while Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns have favored Democratic candidates in competitive races. Trader consensus pricing at 84.5% for a Democratic hold reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments that would alter the outlook, though the slim margin leaves room for targeted district-level swings driven by turnout or candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Minnesota State Senate in the 2026 Minnesota midterm election.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$453Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Minnesota State Senate in the 2026 Minnesota midterm election.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold a narrow 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate, with all 67 seats contested on November 3, 2026. Recent August primaries settled nominations across multiple districts without major shifts in the chamber's partisan balance. Fundraising data shows the DFL Senate Caucus maintaining an edge in cash reserves over Republican counterparts, while Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns have favored Democratic candidates in competitive races. Trader consensus pricing at 84.5% for a Democratic hold reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments that would alter the outlook, though the slim margin leaves room for targeted district-level swings driven by turnout or candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Minnesota State Senate in the 2026 Minnesota midterm election.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A party wins control of the Minnesota Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected Majority Leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no Majority Leader of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of the Chamber, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the Chamber who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
For purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party and the Democratic Party will be considered synonymous.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the Minnesota State Senate, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$453Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Democrats currently hold a narrow 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate, with all 67 seats contested on November 3, 2026. Recent August primaries settled nominations across multiple districts without major shifts in the chamber's partisan balance. Fundraising data shows the DFL Senate Caucus maintaining an edge in cash reserves over Republican counterparts, while Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns have favored Democratic candidates in competitive races. Trader consensus pricing at 84.5% for a Democratic hold reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments that would alter the outlook, though the slim margin leaves room for targeted district-level swings driven by turnout or candidate performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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