**Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, supporting the 93% trader consensus against an early departure.** In February 2025, on his birthday, the Kentucky Republican announced on the Senate floor that he would not seek an eighth term, explicitly declaring his current term his last after seven elections by Kentuckians. He stepped down as Republican leader the prior year but affirmed his commitment to serve out the remainder of his tenure. Recent developments reinforce this positioning. Following a June 2026 fall that led to extended hospitalization and recovery, McConnell returned to the Senate in mid-September 2026, participating in votes including on the farm bill and expressing determination to fulfill his duties despite ongoing physical therapy. He has not signaled any plans to resign, and no procedural or institutional pressures have emerged to force an early exit. Kentucky law would trigger a special election for a vacancy more than three months before the next general election, but McConnell’s public commitments and continued service indicate he plans to remain through the end of his term. Traders appear to view an early resignation as unlikely absent unforeseen developments.
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