Mitch McConnell announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and intended to complete his Senate term, which concludes in January 2027. Recent health setbacks, including a June 2026 fall resulting in hospitalization and pneumonia that caused him to miss dozens of votes, prompted some Democratic calls for resignation or proof of fitness if he cannot resume duties. McConnell has repeatedly stated his plan to return and finish the term, with updates through early August 2026 confirming discharge from rehabilitation, ongoing physical therapy, and continued engagement with staff on Senate matters. No procedural steps, statements from Republican leadership, or indications from McConnell point to an early departure, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% implied probability against resignation before term end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật24% khả năng
$1,114,986 KL.
$1,114,986 KL.
Jan 3, 2027
24% khả năng
$1,114,986 KL.
$1,114,986 KL.
Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and intended to complete his Senate term, which concludes in January 2027. Recent health setbacks, including a June 2026 fall resulting in hospitalization and pneumonia that caused him to miss dozens of votes, prompted some Democratic calls for resignation or proof of fitness if he cannot resume duties. McConnell has repeatedly stated his plan to return and finish the term, with updates through early August 2026 confirming discharge from rehabilitation, ongoing physical therapy, and continued engagement with staff on Senate matters. No procedural steps, statements from Republican leadership, or indications from McConnell point to an early departure, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% implied probability against resignation before term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Thị trường mở: Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,114,986Ngày kết thúc
Jan 3, 2027Thị trường mở
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and intended to complete his Senate term, which concludes in January 2027. Recent health setbacks, including a June 2026 fall resulting in hospitalization and pneumonia that caused him to miss dozens of votes, prompted some Democratic calls for resignation or proof of fitness if he cannot resume duties. McConnell has repeatedly stated his plan to return and finish the term, with updates through early August 2026 confirming discharge from rehabilitation, ongoing physical therapy, and continued engagement with staff on Senate matters. No procedural steps, statements from Republican leadership, or indications from McConnell point to an early departure, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% implied probability against resignation before term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Khối lượng
$1,114,986Ngày kết thúc
Jan 3, 2027Thị trường mở
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mitch McConnell announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and intended to complete his Senate term, which concludes in January 2027. Recent health setbacks, including a June 2026 fall resulting in hospitalization and pneumonia that caused him to miss dozens of votes, prompted some Democratic calls for resignation or proof of fitness if he cannot resume duties. McConnell has repeatedly stated his plan to return and finish the term, with updates through early August 2026 confirming discharge from rehabilitation, ongoing physical therapy, and continued engagement with staff on Senate matters. No procedural steps, statements from Republican leadership, or indications from McConnell point to an early departure, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% implied probability against resignation before term end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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