Several Senate contests remain highly competitive with roughly eight weeks until the November 3 election, driven by a closely divided national environment, multiple open seats, and polling averages showing margins under five points in key states. RealClearPolitics and other aggregators list Maine (Susan Collins vs. Democrat), Michigan (open seat, Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers), Ohio (special, Jon Husted vs. Sherrod Brown), Alaska (Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola), Texas, Iowa, and New Hampshire among the toss-ups. Recent primaries have finalized nominees in most battlegrounds, while low presidential approval and generic ballot leads for Democrats have kept several Republican-held seats in play. Forecasters rate roughly six to nine races as toss-ups or leans, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout, late advertising, and any shifts in the national mood before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
$62,342 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
84%
Kansas
69%
Alaska
68%
Michigan
61%
Iowa
61%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Maine
55%
New Hampshire
48%
Nebraska
46%
South Carolina
41%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
North Carolina
14%
Montana
12%
New Mexico
12%
Virginia
5%
Colorado
4%
$62,342 KL.
Texas
$7,129 KL.
84%
Kansas
$556 KL.
69%
Alaska
$2,789 KL.
68%
Michigan
$2,735 KL.
61%
Iowa
$5,641 KL.
61%
Ohio (Special)
$3,936 KL.
56%
Maine
$1,020 KL.
55%
New Hampshire
$2,326 KL.
48%
Nebraska
$3,687 KL.
46%
South Carolina
$109 KL.
41%
Georgia
$1,394 KL.
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 KL.
25%
Minnesota
$9,715 KL.
21%
North Carolina
$5,544 KL.
14%
Montana
$2,759 KL.
12%
New Mexico
$6,665 KL.
12%
Virginia
$1,344 KL.
5%
Colorado
$2,543 KL.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Senate contests remain highly competitive with roughly eight weeks until the November 3 election, driven by a closely divided national environment, multiple open seats, and polling averages showing margins under five points in key states. RealClearPolitics and other aggregators list Maine (Susan Collins vs. Democrat), Michigan (open seat, Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers), Ohio (special, Jon Husted vs. Sherrod Brown), Alaska (Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola), Texas, Iowa, and New Hampshire among the toss-ups. Recent primaries have finalized nominees in most battlegrounds, while low presidential approval and generic ballot leads for Democrats have kept several Republican-held seats in play. Forecasters rate roughly six to nine races as toss-ups or leans, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout, late advertising, and any shifts in the national mood before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$62,342Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Senate contests remain highly competitive with roughly eight weeks until the November 3 election, driven by a closely divided national environment, multiple open seats, and polling averages showing margins under five points in key states. RealClearPolitics and other aggregators list Maine (Susan Collins vs. Democrat), Michigan (open seat, Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers), Ohio (special, Jon Husted vs. Sherrod Brown), Alaska (Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola), Texas, Iowa, and New Hampshire among the toss-ups. Recent primaries have finalized nominees in most battlegrounds, while low presidential approval and generic ballot leads for Democrats have kept several Republican-held seats in play. Forecasters rate roughly six to nine races as toss-ups or leans, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout, late advertising, and any shifts in the national mood before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$62,342Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Several Senate contests remain highly competitive with roughly eight weeks until the November 3 election, driven by a closely divided national environment, multiple open seats, and polling averages showing margins under five points in key states. RealClearPolitics and other aggregators list Maine (Susan Collins vs. Democrat), Michigan (open seat, Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers), Ohio (special, Jon Husted vs. Sherrod Brown), Alaska (Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola), Texas, Iowa, and New Hampshire among the toss-ups. Recent primaries have finalized nominees in most battlegrounds, while low presidential approval and generic ballot leads for Democrats have kept several Republican-held seats in play. Forecasters rate roughly six to nine races as toss-ups or leans, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout, late advertising, and any shifts in the national mood before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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