Multiple declared candidates, including frontrunners Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and PS first secretary Olivier Faure alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have fragmented the socialist and social-democratic electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal tensions over primary rules, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debate formats have underscored divisions within the PS and allied groups, sustaining expectations of vote splitting in the closed electronic ballot. This balance keeps the chance of any single contender securing an absolute majority closely contested, with outcomes hinging on final candidate consolidation, turnout among qualified voters, and last-minute positioning before the September 15 declaration deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật47% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 10, 2026
47% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 10, 2026
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Multiple declared candidates, including frontrunners Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and PS first secretary Olivier Faure alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have fragmented the socialist and social-democratic electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal tensions over primary rules, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debate formats have underscored divisions within the PS and allied groups, sustaining expectations of vote splitting in the closed electronic ballot. This balance keeps the chance of any single contender securing an absolute majority closely contested, with outcomes hinging on final candidate consolidation, turnout among qualified voters, and last-minute positioning before the September 15 declaration deadline.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Multiple declared candidates, including frontrunners Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and PS first secretary Olivier Faure alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have fragmented the socialist and social-democratic electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal tensions over primary rules, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debate formats have underscored divisions within the PS and allied groups, sustaining expectations of vote splitting in the closed electronic ballot. This balance keeps the chance of any single contender securing an absolute majority closely contested, with outcomes hinging on final candidate consolidation, turnout among qualified voters, and last-minute positioning before the September 15 declaration deadline.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Multiple declared candidates, including frontrunners Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and PS first secretary Olivier Faure alongside Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have fragmented the socialist and social-democratic electorate ahead of the October 9-10 first round. Recent internal tensions over primary rules, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debate formats have underscored divisions within the PS and allied groups, sustaining expectations of vote splitting in the closed electronic ballot. This balance keeps the chance of any single contender securing an absolute majority closely contested, with outcomes hinging on final candidate consolidation, turnout among qualified voters, and last-minute positioning before the September 15 declaration deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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