Elaine Pelino holds a substantial lead in the Republican primary for Rhode Island governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, as reflected in trader consensus. A University of New Hampshire poll from June showed her ahead of Aaron Guckian 42% to 17% among likely Republican voters, aligning with her self-described MAGA positioning and appeal to the party base. Guckian, the Rhode Island GOP state committee's endorsed candidate and former lieutenant governor nominee, has emphasized centrism in recent debates, including an August 13 contest highlighting differences on immigration and party direction. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo remain negligible in surveys. These polling trends and candidate positioning explain the current implied probabilities in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.5%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$29,272 KL.
$29,272 KL.
Elaine Pelino
73%
Aaron Guckian
28%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.5%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$29,272 KL.
$29,272 KL.
Elaine Pelino
73%
Aaron Guckian
28%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds a substantial lead in the Republican primary for Rhode Island governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, as reflected in trader consensus. A University of New Hampshire poll from June showed her ahead of Aaron Guckian 42% to 17% among likely Republican voters, aligning with her self-described MAGA positioning and appeal to the party base. Guckian, the Rhode Island GOP state committee's endorsed candidate and former lieutenant governor nominee, has emphasized centrism in recent debates, including an August 13 contest highlighting differences on immigration and party direction. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo remain negligible in surveys. These polling trends and candidate positioning explain the current implied probabilities in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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