Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire in April shows Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee by 34 points among likely Democratic primary voters, with 45 percent support for Foulkes compared to 11 percent for McKee. This positioning reflects McKee's low approval ratings, including 76 percent disapproval tied to infrastructure and housing concerns, alongside Foulkes' substantial first-quarter fundraising edge of more than double McKee's total. The September 9 primary remains months away with a large undecided share in surveys, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or endorsements. Minor candidates Gregory Stevens and Joe Shekarchi register negligible support in available data.