Recent polls show Mike Lindell maintaining a narrow lead over Lisa Demuth in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, though Demuth has closed the gap to single digits in the latest SurveyUSA survey amid stronger support among older voters. Kendall Qualls trails in third after securing the party endorsement. A Farmfest debate days before the August 11 vote highlighted contrasts in style and policy emphasis among the top three contenders. With the primary only two days away and no dominant frontrunner exceeding 40 percent in recent surveys, trader probabilities reflect substantial uncertainty over whether Lindell secures a decisive margin or faces a competitive finish against Demuth or another outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory
Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory
Lindell 5–10% 37%
Lindell 25%+ 37%
Demuth <5% 37%
Demuth 10%+ 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
37%
Lindell 20–25%
32%
Lindell 15–20%
34%
Lindell 10–15%
34%
Lindell 5–10%
37%
Lindell <5%
33%
Demuth <5%
37%
Demuth 5–10%
33%
Demuth 10%+
37%
Lindell 5–10% 37%
Lindell 25%+ 37%
Demuth <5% 37%
Demuth 10%+ 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
$0 KL.
37%
Lindell 20–25%
$0 KL.
32%
Lindell 15–20%
$0 KL.
34%
Lindell 10–15%
$0 KL.
34%
Lindell 5–10%
$0 KL.
37%
Lindell <5%
$0 KL.
33%
Demuth <5%
$0 KL.
37%
Demuth 5–10%
$0 KL.
33%
Demuth 10%+
$0 KL.
37%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show Mike Lindell maintaining a narrow lead over Lisa Demuth in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, though Demuth has closed the gap to single digits in the latest SurveyUSA survey amid stronger support among older voters. Kendall Qualls trails in third after securing the party endorsement. A Farmfest debate days before the August 11 vote highlighted contrasts in style and policy emphasis among the top three contenders. With the primary only two days away and no dominant frontrunner exceeding 40 percent in recent surveys, trader probabilities reflect substantial uncertainty over whether Lindell secures a decisive margin or faces a competitive finish against Demuth or another outcome.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show Mike Lindell maintaining a narrow lead over Lisa Demuth in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, though Demuth has closed the gap to single digits in the latest SurveyUSA survey amid stronger support among older voters. Kendall Qualls trails in third after securing the party endorsement. A Farmfest debate days before the August 11 vote highlighted contrasts in style and policy emphasis among the top three contenders. With the primary only two days away and no dominant frontrunner exceeding 40 percent in recent surveys, trader probabilities reflect substantial uncertainty over whether Lindell secures a decisive margin or faces a competitive finish against Demuth or another outcome.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Mike Lindell maintaining a narrow lead over Lisa Demuth in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, though Demuth has closed the gap to single digits in the latest SurveyUSA survey amid stronger support among older voters. Kendall Qualls trails in third after securing the party endorsement. A Farmfest debate days before the August 11 vote highlighted contrasts in style and policy emphasis among the top three contenders. With the primary only two days away and no dominant frontrunner exceeding 40 percent in recent surveys, trader probabilities reflect substantial uncertainty over whether Lindell secures a decisive margin or faces a competitive finish against Demuth or another outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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