The current pricing on the GA-07 margin-of-victory market centers on a Republican win of 10-15 points at 60.5% implied probability because nearly complete election-night returns show incumbent Rich McCormick defeating Democrat Tony Kozycki by roughly 12.4 points (56.2% to 43.8%). Traders have adjusted rapidly to the observed vote distribution in this suburban Atlanta district, where McCormick’s incumbency and the seat’s structural Republican lean produced a final margin consistent with pre-election forecasts that projected a low-double-digit advantage. Narrower Republican margins or a Democratic upset remain low-probability outcomes given the reported precinct-level results, while wider margins appear even less likely as additional counts have not materially altered the spread. Resolution will follow official certification of the general-election totals.