State Sen. Ryan Fazio's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary stems from former frontrunner Erin Stewart's suspension of her campaign on May 14 amid credit card misuse scrutiny, followed by her endorsement of Fazio, positioning him as the clear favorite for the GOP state convention endorsement this weekend at Mohegan Sun. Over 1,100 delegates will vote Saturday, with the endorsed candidate securing the party line for the August 11 primary; candidates like Betsy McCaughey (6%) need 15% support or petitions by June 9 to qualify. Earlier Nutmeg State Poll favorability showed Fazio leading GOP contenders, bolstering trader consensus amid his active campaigning, TV ads, and recent debate participation, while longshots Harry Arora, Erin Stewart, and Timothy Wilcox trail with minimal delegate traction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtConnecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ryan Fazio 89%
Betsy McCaughey 6%
Harry Arora 4.0%
Erin Stewart 2.7%
$14,389 KL.
$14,389 KL.
Ryan Fazio
89%
Betsy McCaughey
6%
Harry Arora
4%
Erin Stewart
3%
Timothy Wilcox
1%
Ryan Fazio 89%
Betsy McCaughey 6%
Harry Arora 4.0%
Erin Stewart 2.7%
$14,389 KL.
$14,389 KL.
Ryan Fazio
89%
Betsy McCaughey
6%
Harry Arora
4%
Erin Stewart
3%
Timothy Wilcox
1%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Ryan Fazio's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary stems from former frontrunner Erin Stewart's suspension of her campaign on May 14 amid credit card misuse scrutiny, followed by her endorsement of Fazio, positioning him as the clear favorite for the GOP state convention endorsement this weekend at Mohegan Sun. Over 1,100 delegates will vote Saturday, with the endorsed candidate securing the party line for the August 11 primary; candidates like Betsy McCaughey (6%) need 15% support or petitions by June 9 to qualify. Earlier Nutmeg State Poll favorability showed Fazio leading GOP contenders, bolstering trader consensus amid his active campaigning, TV ads, and recent debate participation, while longshots Harry Arora, Erin Stewart, and Timothy Wilcox trail with minimal delegate traction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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