Recent Israeli polling from early September places Shas at seven to nine Knesset seats, implying a vote share clustered near 6-8 percent and sustaining tight pricing across the 6-7 percent, 7-8 percent, and 8-9 percent brackets. The party’s candidate list, finalized days ago with a reserve officer added in the sixth slot and minor ranking adjustments, reflects efforts to broaden appeal among traditional and Zionist voters amid ongoing disputes over Haredi military exemptions. Competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and emerging lists has drawn away portions of Shas’s base, while the October 27 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts. These factors keep the brackets closely matched in trader assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật9%+ 43%
6-7% 40%
8-9% 40%
7-8% 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
24%
6-7%
40%
7-8%
37%
8-9%
40%
9%+
43%
9%+ 43%
6-7% 40%
8-9% 40%
7-8% 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
$19 KL.
24%
6-7%
$0 KL.
40%
7-8%
$0 KL.
37%
8-9%
$0 KL.
40%
9%+
$0 KL.
43%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polling from early September places Shas at seven to nine Knesset seats, implying a vote share clustered near 6-8 percent and sustaining tight pricing across the 6-7 percent, 7-8 percent, and 8-9 percent brackets. The party’s candidate list, finalized days ago with a reserve officer added in the sixth slot and minor ranking adjustments, reflects efforts to broaden appeal among traditional and Zionist voters amid ongoing disputes over Haredi military exemptions. Competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and emerging lists has drawn away portions of Shas’s base, while the October 27 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts. These factors keep the brackets closely matched in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polling from early September places Shas at seven to nine Knesset seats, implying a vote share clustered near 6-8 percent and sustaining tight pricing across the 6-7 percent, 7-8 percent, and 8-9 percent brackets. The party’s candidate list, finalized days ago with a reserve officer added in the sixth slot and minor ranking adjustments, reflects efforts to broaden appeal among traditional and Zionist voters amid ongoing disputes over Haredi military exemptions. Competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and emerging lists has drawn away portions of Shas’s base, while the October 27 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts. These factors keep the brackets closely matched in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$19Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polling from early September places Shas at seven to nine Knesset seats, implying a vote share clustered near 6-8 percent and sustaining tight pricing across the 6-7 percent, 7-8 percent, and 8-9 percent brackets. The party’s candidate list, finalized days ago with a reserve officer added in the sixth slot and minor ranking adjustments, reflects efforts to broaden appeal among traditional and Zionist voters amid ongoing disputes over Haredi military exemptions. Competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and emerging lists has drawn away portions of Shas’s base, while the October 27 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts. These factors keep the brackets closely matched in trader assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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