Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold in September 2026 surveys, with recent results placing its projected vote share near or under 1.1%. Multiple polls released after party lists closed on September 8 show consistent weakness, as former allies defected to stronger centrist options such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid wasting votes that could otherwise help unseat Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no evident rebound in support, traders assign the highest implied probability to sub-0.75% and 0.75-1.25% outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<0.75% 39%
2-3.25% 22%
0.75-1.25% 21%
1.25-2% 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
39%
0.75-1.25%
21%
1.25-2%
19%
2-3.25%
22%
3.25%+
6%
<0.75% 39%
2-3.25% 22%
0.75-1.25% 21%
1.25-2% 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$244 KL.
39%
0.75-1.25%
$373 KL.
21%
1.25-2%
$15 KL.
19%
2-3.25%
$15 KL.
22%
3.25%+
$245 KL.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold in September 2026 surveys, with recent results placing its projected vote share near or under 1.1%. Multiple polls released after party lists closed on September 8 show consistent weakness, as former allies defected to stronger centrist options such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid wasting votes that could otherwise help unseat Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no evident rebound in support, traders assign the highest implied probability to sub-0.75% and 0.75-1.25% outcomes.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$892Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold in September 2026 surveys, with recent results placing its projected vote share near or under 1.1%. Multiple polls released after party lists closed on September 8 show consistent weakness, as former allies defected to stronger centrist options such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid wasting votes that could otherwise help unseat Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no evident rebound in support, traders assign the highest implied probability to sub-0.75% and 0.75-1.25% outcomes.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$892Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold in September 2026 surveys, with recent results placing its projected vote share near or under 1.1%. Multiple polls released after party lists closed on September 8 show consistent weakness, as former allies defected to stronger centrist options such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid wasting votes that could otherwise help unseat Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no evident rebound in support, traders assign the highest implied probability to sub-0.75% and 0.75-1.25% outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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