Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in the 7–10 seat range, consistent with a vote share clustered near 6%. Avigdor Liberman’s party has emphasized opposition to Haredi military exemptions and submitted its final slate in early September, drawing support from secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented right. Surplus-vote agreements with other lists and competition from larger center-right parties such as Together and Yashar have kept YB’s projected share tightly bounded between roughly 5% and 8%. No single recent event has produced sustained separation, leaving trader probabilities distributed across the narrow 5–8% bands ahead of final list approvals and the remaining campaign period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6-7% 34%
5-6% 28%
<5% 22%
7-8% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
22%
5-6%
28%
6-7%
33%
7-8%
25%
8%+
18%
6-7% 34%
5-6% 28%
<5% 22%
7-8% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$810 KL.
22%
5-6%
$119 KL.
28%
6-7%
$208 KL.
33%
7-8%
$132 KL.
25%
8%+
$47 KL.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in the 7–10 seat range, consistent with a vote share clustered near 6%. Avigdor Liberman’s party has emphasized opposition to Haredi military exemptions and submitted its final slate in early September, drawing support from secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented right. Surplus-vote agreements with other lists and competition from larger center-right parties such as Together and Yashar have kept YB’s projected share tightly bounded between roughly 5% and 8%. No single recent event has produced sustained separation, leaving trader probabilities distributed across the narrow 5–8% bands ahead of final list approvals and the remaining campaign period.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,316Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in the 7–10 seat range, consistent with a vote share clustered near 6%. Avigdor Liberman’s party has emphasized opposition to Haredi military exemptions and submitted its final slate in early September, drawing support from secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented right. Surplus-vote agreements with other lists and competition from larger center-right parties such as Together and Yashar have kept YB’s projected share tightly bounded between roughly 5% and 8%. No single recent event has produced sustained separation, leaving trader probabilities distributed across the narrow 5–8% bands ahead of final list approvals and the remaining campaign period.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$1,316Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in the 7–10 seat range, consistent with a vote share clustered near 6%. Avigdor Liberman’s party has emphasized opposition to Haredi military exemptions and submitted its final slate in early September, drawing support from secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented right. Surplus-vote agreements with other lists and competition from larger center-right parties such as Together and Yashar have kept YB’s projected share tightly bounded between roughly 5% and 8%. No single recent event has produced sustained separation, leaving trader probabilities distributed across the narrow 5–8% bands ahead of final list approvals and the remaining campaign period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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