Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats as parties finalize candidate lists ahead of the October 27 election. This positioning reflects ongoing volatility in voter preferences, with Yashar edging or tying Likud while competing against Bennett’s Together alliance and smaller parties for centrist and right-leaning support. Bloc dynamics remain fluid, as outcomes hinge on whether smaller slates clear the threshold and whether opposition factions can consolidate without Arab parties. Trader pricing across the 16-24% bins aligns with these seat projections and the impact of roughly 10% undecided respondents, leaving room for late shifts from security developments, coalition negotiations, or turnout patterns to widen or narrow Yashar’s final share.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
18-20% 45%
22-24% 43%
24%+ 43%
20-22% 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
40%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
45%
20-22%
42%
22-24%
43%
24%+
43%
18-20% 45%
22-24% 43%
24%+ 43%
20-22% 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$0 KL.
40%
16-18%
$0 KL.
28%
18-20%
$0 KL.
45%
20-22%
$0 KL.
42%
22-24%
$0 KL.
43%
24%+
$0 KL.
43%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats as parties finalize candidate lists ahead of the October 27 election. This positioning reflects ongoing volatility in voter preferences, with Yashar edging or tying Likud while competing against Bennett’s Together alliance and smaller parties for centrist and right-leaning support. Bloc dynamics remain fluid, as outcomes hinge on whether smaller slates clear the threshold and whether opposition factions can consolidate without Arab parties. Trader pricing across the 16-24% bins aligns with these seat projections and the impact of roughly 10% undecided respondents, leaving room for late shifts from security developments, coalition negotiations, or turnout patterns to widen or narrow Yashar’s final share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats as parties finalize candidate lists ahead of the October 27 election. This positioning reflects ongoing volatility in voter preferences, with Yashar edging or tying Likud while competing against Bennett’s Together alliance and smaller parties for centrist and right-leaning support. Bloc dynamics remain fluid, as outcomes hinge on whether smaller slates clear the threshold and whether opposition factions can consolidate without Arab parties. Trader pricing across the 16-24% bins aligns with these seat projections and the impact of roughly 10% undecided respondents, leaving room for late shifts from security developments, coalition negotiations, or turnout patterns to widen or narrow Yashar’s final share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats as parties finalize candidate lists ahead of the October 27 election. This positioning reflects ongoing volatility in voter preferences, with Yashar edging or tying Likud while competing against Bennett’s Together alliance and smaller parties for centrist and right-leaning support. Bloc dynamics remain fluid, as outcomes hinge on whether smaller slates clear the threshold and whether opposition factions can consolidate without Arab parties. Trader pricing across the 16-24% bins aligns with these seat projections and the impact of roughly 10% undecided respondents, leaving room for late shifts from security developments, coalition negotiations, or turnout patterns to widen or narrow Yashar’s final share.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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