Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the state Senate committee's May 13 advancement of a new congressional map following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declaring the prior boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The proposed redraw transforms LA-06 from a Harris +14 district into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat by eliminating one of two majority-Black districts, challenging Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields' reelection prospects despite his unopposed primary advancement. With Gov. Jeff Landry suspending the May 16 primaries to facilitate the changes, the November 3 jungle primary and potential December 5 runoff will occur under the revised lines, barring legal hurdles, positioning Republicans for a likely top-two finish and victory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$57,125 KL.
$57,125 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$57,125 KL.
$57,125 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$30,736 KL.
81%
Democratic Party
$26,389 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the state Senate committee's May 13 advancement of a new congressional map following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declaring the prior boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The proposed redraw transforms LA-06 from a Harris +14 district into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat by eliminating one of two majority-Black districts, challenging Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields' reelection prospects despite his unopposed primary advancement. With Gov. Jeff Landry suspending the May 16 primaries to facilitate the changes, the November 3 jungle primary and potential December 5 runoff will occur under the revised lines, barring legal hurdles, positioning Republicans for a likely top-two finish and victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,125Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the state Senate committee's May 13 advancement of a new congressional map following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declaring the prior boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The proposed redraw transforms LA-06 from a Harris +14 district into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat by eliminating one of two majority-Black districts, challenging Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields' reelection prospects despite his unopposed primary advancement. With Gov. Jeff Landry suspending the May 16 primaries to facilitate the changes, the November 3 jungle primary and potential December 5 runoff will occur under the revised lines, barring legal hurdles, positioning Republicans for a likely top-two finish and victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,125Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the state Senate committee's May 13 advancement of a new congressional map following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declaring the prior boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The proposed redraw transforms LA-06 from a Harris +14 district into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat by eliminating one of two majority-Black districts, challenging Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields' reelection prospects despite his unopposed primary advancement. With Gov. Jeff Landry suspending the May 16 primaries to facilitate the changes, the November 3 jungle primary and potential December 5 runoff will occur under the revised lines, barring legal hurdles, positioning Republicans for a likely top-two finish and victory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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