Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,285 KL.
71%
Democratic Party
$4,669 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,954Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,954Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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