Recent April polls, including Stetson University (April 26) and Echelon Insights (April 21), show interim Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading top Democratic contenders Alex Vindman by 7 points and Angie Nixon by 13 points among likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican win in Florida's special U.S. Senate election. Florida's strong GOP lean—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and Republican legislative supermajorities—bolsters Moody's incumbency advantage, alongside key endorsements from business groups and fundraising edges. Democratic primary fragmentation ahead of the August 18 primaries adds risk for challengers, with no major developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days despite national midterm uncertainties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$36,912 KL.
$36,912 KL.
Republican
84%
Democrat
17%
$36,912 KL.
$36,912 KL.
Republican
$19,629 KL.
84%
Democrat
$17,283 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent April polls, including Stetson University (April 26) and Echelon Insights (April 21), show interim Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading top Democratic contenders Alex Vindman by 7 points and Angie Nixon by 13 points among likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican win in Florida's special U.S. Senate election. Florida's strong GOP lean—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and Republican legislative supermajorities—bolsters Moody's incumbency advantage, alongside key endorsements from business groups and fundraising edges. Democratic primary fragmentation ahead of the August 18 primaries adds risk for challengers, with no major developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days despite national midterm uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$36,912Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent April polls, including Stetson University (April 26) and Echelon Insights (April 21), show interim Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading top Democratic contenders Alex Vindman by 7 points and Angie Nixon by 13 points among likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican win in Florida's special U.S. Senate election. Florida's strong GOP lean—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and Republican legislative supermajorities—bolsters Moody's incumbency advantage, alongside key endorsements from business groups and fundraising edges. Democratic primary fragmentation ahead of the August 18 primaries adds risk for challengers, with no major developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days despite national midterm uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$36,912Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April polls, including Stetson University (April 26) and Echelon Insights (April 21), show interim Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading top Democratic contenders Alex Vindman by 7 points and Angie Nixon by 13 points among likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican win in Florida's special U.S. Senate election. Florida's strong GOP lean—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and Republican legislative supermajorities—bolsters Moody's incumbency advantage, alongside key endorsements from business groups and fundraising edges. Democratic primary fragmentation ahead of the August 18 primaries adds risk for challengers, with no major developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days despite national midterm uncertainties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp