Florida's Republican tilt and the presence of an incumbent Republican in Ashley Moody anchor the market's strong preference for a GOP Senate winner at 87%. Moody's established statewide profile and the state's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles have reinforced trader assessments, while Democratic challenger Alexander Vindman faces structural headwinds in a non-presidential year. Polling averages and forecasts showing a modest Republican edge align with these dynamics, though turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the November 2026 outcome. The implied probability captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in these fundamentals over the remaining campaign period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$67,151 KL.
$67,151 KL.
Republican
87%
Democrat
13%
$67,151 KL.
$67,151 KL.
Republican
$37,551 KL.
87%
Democrat
$29,600 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and the presence of an incumbent Republican in Ashley Moody anchor the market's strong preference for a GOP Senate winner at 87%. Moody's established statewide profile and the state's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles have reinforced trader assessments, while Democratic challenger Alexander Vindman faces structural headwinds in a non-presidential year. Polling averages and forecasts showing a modest Republican edge align with these dynamics, though turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the November 2026 outcome. The implied probability captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in these fundamentals over the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$67,151Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and the presence of an incumbent Republican in Ashley Moody anchor the market's strong preference for a GOP Senate winner at 87%. Moody's established statewide profile and the state's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles have reinforced trader assessments, while Democratic challenger Alexander Vindman faces structural headwinds in a non-presidential year. Polling averages and forecasts showing a modest Republican edge align with these dynamics, though turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the November 2026 outcome. The implied probability captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in these fundamentals over the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$67,151Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt and the presence of an incumbent Republican in Ashley Moody anchor the market's strong preference for a GOP Senate winner at 87%. Moody's established statewide profile and the state's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles have reinforced trader assessments, while Democratic challenger Alexander Vindman faces structural headwinds in a non-presidential year. Polling averages and forecasts showing a modest Republican edge align with these dynamics, though turnout patterns and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the November 2026 outcome. The implied probability captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in these fundamentals over the remaining campaign period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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