Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor faces Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election in Florida’s 14th district. The seat’s underlying partisan lean favors Democrats, reinforced by Castor’s long tenure and fundraising edge, which supports the 59.5% trader-implied probability for the Democratic Party. Redistricting completed in spring 2026 under a map backed by Governor DeSantis shifted several Florida districts toward Republicans overall, creating the competitive environment reflected in the Republican Party’s 40% share. No major late developments have altered candidate fields or polling baselines in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any national midterm dynamics that emerge before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$30,692 KL.
$30,692 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
40%
$30,692 KL.
$30,692 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,247 KL.
60%
Republican Party
$15,445 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor faces Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election in Florida’s 14th district. The seat’s underlying partisan lean favors Democrats, reinforced by Castor’s long tenure and fundraising edge, which supports the 59.5% trader-implied probability for the Democratic Party. Redistricting completed in spring 2026 under a map backed by Governor DeSantis shifted several Florida districts toward Republicans overall, creating the competitive environment reflected in the Republican Party’s 40% share. No major late developments have altered candidate fields or polling baselines in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any national midterm dynamics that emerge before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,692Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor faces Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election in Florida’s 14th district. The seat’s underlying partisan lean favors Democrats, reinforced by Castor’s long tenure and fundraising edge, which supports the 59.5% trader-implied probability for the Democratic Party. Redistricting completed in spring 2026 under a map backed by Governor DeSantis shifted several Florida districts toward Republicans overall, creating the competitive environment reflected in the Republican Party’s 40% share. No major late developments have altered candidate fields or polling baselines in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any national midterm dynamics that emerge before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,692Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor faces Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election in Florida’s 14th district. The seat’s underlying partisan lean favors Democrats, reinforced by Castor’s long tenure and fundraising edge, which supports the 59.5% trader-implied probability for the Democratic Party. Redistricting completed in spring 2026 under a map backed by Governor DeSantis shifted several Florida districts toward Republicans overall, creating the competitive environment reflected in the Republican Party’s 40% share. No major late developments have altered candidate fields or polling baselines in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any national midterm dynamics that emerge before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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