Redistricting approved by Florida Republicans in 2026 shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more rural counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee while reducing its Hispanic share. This change aligns the new boundaries with stronger recent Republican performance in presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in his primary and will face Republican nominee Dan Green, who prevailed in a crowded August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the November general election as Likely or Lean Republican. Traders' consensus reflects the structural impact of the map on turnout patterns and baseline partisan support in this Central Florida district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,498 KL.
$18,498 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
30%
$18,498 KL.
$18,498 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,873 KL.
72%
Democratic Party
$7,625 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida Republicans in 2026 shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more rural counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee while reducing its Hispanic share. This change aligns the new boundaries with stronger recent Republican performance in presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in his primary and will face Republican nominee Dan Green, who prevailed in a crowded August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the November general election as Likely or Lean Republican. Traders' consensus reflects the structural impact of the map on turnout patterns and baseline partisan support in this Central Florida district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,498Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida Republicans in 2026 shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more rural counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee while reducing its Hispanic share. This change aligns the new boundaries with stronger recent Republican performance in presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in his primary and will face Republican nominee Dan Green, who prevailed in a crowded August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the November general election as Likely or Lean Republican. Traders' consensus reflects the structural impact of the map on turnout patterns and baseline partisan support in this Central Florida district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,498Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida Republicans in 2026 shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more rural counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee while reducing its Hispanic share. This change aligns the new boundaries with stronger recent Republican performance in presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in his primary and will face Republican nominee Dan Green, who prevailed in a crowded August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the November general election as Likely or Lean Republican. Traders' consensus reflects the structural impact of the map on turnout patterns and baseline partisan support in this Central Florida district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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