Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$13,073 KL.
$13,073 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
53%
Democratic Party
41%
$13,073 KL.
$13,073 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,958 KL.
53%
Democratic Party
$5,114 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,073Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,073Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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