The 2026 race for New York’s 17th congressional district pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley following June primaries. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning narrowly in 2024, while Conley secured the Democratic nomination over several challengers. The Lower Hudson Valley district, encompassing Rockland and Putnam counties plus northern Westchester, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its 2024 presidential results. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a slim edge and another favoring Conley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the seat’s swing character, Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, Lawler’s vulnerability as one of few Republicans representing a district carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee, and typical midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
33%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,001 KL.
66%
Republican Party
$5,591 KL.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 race for New York’s 17th congressional district pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley following June primaries. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning narrowly in 2024, while Conley secured the Democratic nomination over several challengers. The Lower Hudson Valley district, encompassing Rockland and Putnam counties plus northern Westchester, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its 2024 presidential results. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a slim edge and another favoring Conley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the seat’s swing character, Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, Lawler’s vulnerability as one of few Republicans representing a district carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee, and typical midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,592Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 race for New York’s 17th congressional district pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley following June primaries. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning narrowly in 2024, while Conley secured the Democratic nomination over several challengers. The Lower Hudson Valley district, encompassing Rockland and Putnam counties plus northern Westchester, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its 2024 presidential results. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a slim edge and another favoring Conley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the seat’s swing character, Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, Lawler’s vulnerability as one of few Republicans representing a district carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee, and typical midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,592Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 race for New York’s 17th congressional district pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley following June primaries. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning narrowly in 2024, while Conley secured the Democratic nomination over several challengers. The Lower Hudson Valley district, encompassing Rockland and Putnam counties plus northern Westchester, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its 2024 presidential results. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a slim edge and another favoring Conley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the seat’s swing character, Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, Lawler’s vulnerability as one of few Republicans representing a district carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee, and typical midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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