The NY-17 race centers on a Hudson Valley swing district that Democrats view as a prime target after Kamala Harris carried it in 2024 and incumbent Republican Mike Lawler won reelection by a narrow margin. Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly half the vote in a crowded field, bringing a profile as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and former national security official that appeals to suburban voters. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side and benefits from incumbency in a district with a near-even partisan lean. Recent polls show the contest remaining competitive, with trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near two-thirds reflecting the seat's status as an open opportunity in the 2026 midterms and Conley's positioning as a credible challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
29%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,001 KL.
66%
Republican Party
$5,163 KL.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 race centers on a Hudson Valley swing district that Democrats view as a prime target after Kamala Harris carried it in 2024 and incumbent Republican Mike Lawler won reelection by a narrow margin. Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly half the vote in a crowded field, bringing a profile as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and former national security official that appeals to suburban voters. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side and benefits from incumbency in a district with a near-even partisan lean. Recent polls show the contest remaining competitive, with trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near two-thirds reflecting the seat's status as an open opportunity in the 2026 midterms and Conley's positioning as a credible challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,164Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 race centers on a Hudson Valley swing district that Democrats view as a prime target after Kamala Harris carried it in 2024 and incumbent Republican Mike Lawler won reelection by a narrow margin. Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly half the vote in a crowded field, bringing a profile as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and former national security official that appeals to suburban voters. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side and benefits from incumbency in a district with a near-even partisan lean. Recent polls show the contest remaining competitive, with trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near two-thirds reflecting the seat's status as an open opportunity in the 2026 midterms and Conley's positioning as a credible challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,164Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-17 race centers on a Hudson Valley swing district that Democrats view as a prime target after Kamala Harris carried it in 2024 and incumbent Republican Mike Lawler won reelection by a narrow margin. Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly half the vote in a crowded field, bringing a profile as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and former national security official that appeals to suburban voters. Lawler advanced unopposed on the Republican side and benefits from incumbency in a district with a near-even partisan lean. Recent polls show the contest remaining competitive, with trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near two-thirds reflecting the seat's status as an open opportunity in the 2026 midterms and Conley's positioning as a credible challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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