Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$24,474 KL.
$24,474 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$24,474 KL.
$24,474 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,717 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$10,757 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,474Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,474Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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