Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as the sitting officeholder who prevailed in the 2022 rematch against Jim Marchant. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June after defeating several challengers. The contest centers on election administration priorities, with the candidates differing sharply on mail voting, ballot deadlines, and voting equipment. Aguilar maintains a substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1 million to Marchant’s under $14 as of July filings. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving room for late-cycle factors such as turnout patterns or third-party candidacies to influence final margins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
86%
Jim Marchant (R)
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$771 KL.
86%
Jim Marchant (R)
$241 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as the sitting officeholder who prevailed in the 2022 rematch against Jim Marchant. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June after defeating several challengers. The contest centers on election administration priorities, with the candidates differing sharply on mail voting, ballot deadlines, and voting equipment. Aguilar maintains a substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1 million to Marchant’s under $14 as of July filings. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving room for late-cycle factors such as turnout patterns or third-party candidacies to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,012Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as the sitting officeholder who prevailed in the 2022 rematch against Jim Marchant. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June after defeating several challengers. The contest centers on election administration priorities, with the candidates differing sharply on mail voting, ballot deadlines, and voting equipment. Aguilar maintains a substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1 million to Marchant’s under $14 as of July filings. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving room for late-cycle factors such as turnout patterns or third-party candidacies to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Khối lượng
$1,012Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as the sitting officeholder who prevailed in the 2022 rematch against Jim Marchant. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June after defeating several challengers. The contest centers on election administration priorities, with the candidates differing sharply on mail voting, ballot deadlines, and voting equipment. Aguilar maintains a substantial fundraising lead of roughly $1 million to Marchant’s under $14 as of July filings. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving room for late-cycle factors such as turnout patterns or third-party candidacies to influence final margins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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