Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota’s re-election bid in New York’s 1st congressional district drives the current market positioning, backed by the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Primaries scheduled for June 23 leave the Democratic field fragmented among several lesser-known challengers, reducing the prospect of a competitive general election matchup on November 3. Recent filings and the absence of high-profile Democratic recruitment efforts reinforce expectations that resources will flow elsewhere, leaving LaLota with a clear path absent major late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns. Traders price these structural advantages into the Republican outcome while leaving room for primary volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$20,232 KL.
$20,232 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
49%
Democratic Party
23%
$20,232 KL.
$20,232 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,326 KL.
49%
Democratic Party
$13,906 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota’s re-election bid in New York’s 1st congressional district drives the current market positioning, backed by the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Primaries scheduled for June 23 leave the Democratic field fragmented among several lesser-known challengers, reducing the prospect of a competitive general election matchup on November 3. Recent filings and the absence of high-profile Democratic recruitment efforts reinforce expectations that resources will flow elsewhere, leaving LaLota with a clear path absent major late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns. Traders price these structural advantages into the Republican outcome while leaving room for primary volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,232Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota’s re-election bid in New York’s 1st congressional district drives the current market positioning, backed by the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Primaries scheduled for June 23 leave the Democratic field fragmented among several lesser-known challengers, reducing the prospect of a competitive general election matchup on November 3. Recent filings and the absence of high-profile Democratic recruitment efforts reinforce expectations that resources will flow elsewhere, leaving LaLota with a clear path absent major late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns. Traders price these structural advantages into the Republican outcome while leaving room for primary volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,232Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota’s re-election bid in New York’s 1st congressional district drives the current market positioning, backed by the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Primaries scheduled for June 23 leave the Democratic field fragmented among several lesser-known challengers, reducing the prospect of a competitive general election matchup on November 3. Recent filings and the absence of high-profile Democratic recruitment efforts reinforce expectations that resources will flow elsewhere, leaving LaLota with a clear path absent major late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns. Traders price these structural advantages into the Republican outcome while leaving room for primary volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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