Texas's 2nd congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and prior House voting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the Democratic side for the November 3 general election. With no subsequent shifts in district boundaries, candidate viability, or polling trends reported through mid-August, trader consensus assigns an 86% probability to the Republican outcome, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited competitive history in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$11,992 KL.
$11,992 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
12%
$11,992 KL.
$11,992 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,149 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$5,842 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and prior House voting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the Democratic side for the November 3 general election. With no subsequent shifts in district boundaries, candidate viability, or polling trends reported through mid-August, trader consensus assigns an 86% probability to the Republican outcome, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited competitive history in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,992Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and prior House voting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the Democratic side for the November 3 general election. With no subsequent shifts in district boundaries, candidate viability, or polling trends reported through mid-August, trader consensus assigns an 86% probability to the Republican outcome, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited competitive history in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,992Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and prior House voting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the Democratic side for the November 3 general election. With no subsequent shifts in district boundaries, candidate viability, or polling trends reported through mid-August, trader consensus assigns an 86% probability to the Republican outcome, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited competitive history in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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