Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting and recent voting patterns, with the GOP nominee Steve Toth positioned to succeed term-limited incumbent Dan Crenshaw after defeating him in the March 2026 Republican primary. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural disadvantages in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in the prior cycle. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum to date, along with the absence of competitive crossover dynamics or late-cycle shifts that have occasionally narrowed similar suburban Houston races. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though historical base rates in comparable districts support the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$11,710 KL.
$11,710 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
12%
$11,710 KL.
$11,710 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,926 KL.
85%
Democratic Party
$5,784 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting and recent voting patterns, with the GOP nominee Steve Toth positioned to succeed term-limited incumbent Dan Crenshaw after defeating him in the March 2026 Republican primary. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural disadvantages in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in the prior cycle. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum to date, along with the absence of competitive crossover dynamics or late-cycle shifts that have occasionally narrowed similar suburban Houston races. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though historical base rates in comparable districts support the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,710Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting and recent voting patterns, with the GOP nominee Steve Toth positioned to succeed term-limited incumbent Dan Crenshaw after defeating him in the March 2026 Republican primary. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural disadvantages in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in the prior cycle. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum to date, along with the absence of competitive crossover dynamics or late-cycle shifts that have occasionally narrowed similar suburban Houston races. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though historical base rates in comparable districts support the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,710Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting and recent voting patterns, with the GOP nominee Steve Toth positioned to succeed term-limited incumbent Dan Crenshaw after defeating him in the March 2026 Republican primary. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural disadvantages in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in the prior cycle. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum to date, along with the absence of competitive crossover dynamics or late-cycle shifts that have occasionally narrowed similar suburban Houston races. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though historical base rates in comparable districts support the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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