Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the NC-06 House race, driven by the district's R+9 Cook PVI following 2025 redistricting that solidified Republican dominance—Trump carried it 55-43% in 2024 projections. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary after his 69% 2024 win, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a fragmented primary with 39% support. McDowell's fundraising superiority—over $1 million raised versus Jefferson's $158,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race ratings uniformly Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds stable ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-06 House Election Winner
NC-06 House Election Winner
$15,942 KL.
$15,942 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
17%
$15,942 KL.
$15,942 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,033 KL.
79%
Democratic Party
$6,910 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the NC-06 House race, driven by the district's R+9 Cook PVI following 2025 redistricting that solidified Republican dominance—Trump carried it 55-43% in 2024 projections. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary after his 69% 2024 win, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a fragmented primary with 39% support. McDowell's fundraising superiority—over $1 million raised versus Jefferson's $158,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race ratings uniformly Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds stable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,942Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the NC-06 House race, driven by the district's R+9 Cook PVI following 2025 redistricting that solidified Republican dominance—Trump carried it 55-43% in 2024 projections. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary after his 69% 2024 win, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a fragmented primary with 39% support. McDowell's fundraising superiority—over $1 million raised versus Jefferson's $158,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race ratings uniformly Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds stable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,942Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the NC-06 House race, driven by the district's R+9 Cook PVI following 2025 redistricting that solidified Republican dominance—Trump carried it 55-43% in 2024 projections. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary after his 69% 2024 win, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a fragmented primary with 39% support. McDowell's fundraising superiority—over $1 million raised versus Jefferson's $158,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race ratings uniformly Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds stable ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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