Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$10,501 KL.
$10,501 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
18%
$10,501 KL.
$10,501 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,609 KL.
78%
Democratic Party
$5,891 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,501Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,501Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp