Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York's 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus pricing her party's victory at 86% following the U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling blocking a Democratic-backed redistricting effort that aimed to redraw the Staten Island-based seat for greater minority representation. The decision preserved lines favorable to Republicans in this working-class district, which has trended rightward, solidifying Malliotakis as the presumptive GOP nominee. Democrats face a June 23 primary amid weak fundraising and no clear frontrunner, underscoring structural advantages for Republicans despite national midterm volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$13,338 KL.
$13,338 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,338 KL.
$13,338 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,374 KL.
77%
Democratic Party
$5,964 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York's 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus pricing her party's victory at 86% following the U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling blocking a Democratic-backed redistricting effort that aimed to redraw the Staten Island-based seat for greater minority representation. The decision preserved lines favorable to Republicans in this working-class district, which has trended rightward, solidifying Malliotakis as the presumptive GOP nominee. Democrats face a June 23 primary amid weak fundraising and no clear frontrunner, underscoring structural advantages for Republicans despite national midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,338Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York's 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus pricing her party's victory at 86% following the U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling blocking a Democratic-backed redistricting effort that aimed to redraw the Staten Island-based seat for greater minority representation. The decision preserved lines favorable to Republicans in this working-class district, which has trended rightward, solidifying Malliotakis as the presumptive GOP nominee. Democrats face a June 23 primary amid weak fundraising and no clear frontrunner, underscoring structural advantages for Republicans despite national midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,338Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York's 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus pricing her party's victory at 86% following the U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling blocking a Democratic-backed redistricting effort that aimed to redraw the Staten Island-based seat for greater minority representation. The decision preserved lines favorable to Republicans in this working-class district, which has trended rightward, solidifying Malliotakis as the presumptive GOP nominee. Democrats face a June 23 primary amid weak fundraising and no clear frontrunner, underscoring structural advantages for Republicans despite national midterm volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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