Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$62 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$0 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$62Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$62Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's bid for re-election in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchored by its R+13 partisan voter index and Onder's 2024 general election win with 61% amid low Democratic turnout. Recent candidate filings in late February and March 2026 set a crowded Democratic primary featuring Bethany Mann, who lost previously, Paul Wilson, and Tommy Holstein against Onder and challenger John Fraser on the GOP side, with primaries scheduled for August 4. While no new polls have emerged, the field's dynamics reinforce incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe districts; rare shifts could stem from a primary upset, Onder scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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