Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also ran without opposition, signaling minimal intra-party competition and a lopsided general election matchup on November 3. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, the district's strong partisan lean—bolstered by Guest's prior landslide victories—drives trader consensus at 92% for a Republican win, reflecting historical base rates for safe seats amid absent polling or fundraising surges for Democrats. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, legal challenges, health events, or extreme national midterm swings favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-03 House Election Winner
MS-03 House Election Winner
$28,614 KL.
$28,614 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$28,614 KL.
$28,614 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,190 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$22,424 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also ran without opposition, signaling minimal intra-party competition and a lopsided general election matchup on November 3. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, the district's strong partisan lean—bolstered by Guest's prior landslide victories—drives trader consensus at 92% for a Republican win, reflecting historical base rates for safe seats amid absent polling or fundraising surges for Democrats. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, legal challenges, health events, or extreme national midterm swings favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,614Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also ran without opposition, signaling minimal intra-party competition and a lopsided general election matchup on November 3. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, the district's strong partisan lean—bolstered by Guest's prior landslide victories—drives trader consensus at 92% for a Republican win, reflecting historical base rates for safe seats amid absent polling or fundraising surges for Democrats. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, legal challenges, health events, or extreme national midterm swings favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,614Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also ran without opposition, signaling minimal intra-party competition and a lopsided general election matchup on November 3. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, the district's strong partisan lean—bolstered by Guest's prior landslide victories—drives trader consensus at 92% for a Republican win, reflecting historical base rates for safe seats amid absent polling or fundraising surges for Democrats. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, legal challenges, health events, or extreme national midterm swings favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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