Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt driven by its Madison-area population centers, university demographics, and voting patterns in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a primary challenge on August 11, 2026, with no competitive Republican candidate or significant fundraising evident on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in turnout and partisan registration that have held through multiple election cycles. The resulting trader consensus around a 95% Democratic outcome mirrors these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from historical district behavior.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$99,749 KL.
$99,749 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$99,749 KL.
$99,749 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$60,468 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$39,281 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt driven by its Madison-area population centers, university demographics, and voting patterns in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a primary challenge on August 11, 2026, with no competitive Republican candidate or significant fundraising evident on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in turnout and partisan registration that have held through multiple election cycles. The resulting trader consensus around a 95% Democratic outcome mirrors these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from historical district behavior.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$99,749Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt driven by its Madison-area population centers, university demographics, and voting patterns in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a primary challenge on August 11, 2026, with no competitive Republican candidate or significant fundraising evident on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in turnout and partisan registration that have held through multiple election cycles. The resulting trader consensus around a 95% Democratic outcome mirrors these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from historical district behavior.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$99,749Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt driven by its Madison-area population centers, university demographics, and voting patterns in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a primary challenge on August 11, 2026, with no competitive Republican candidate or significant fundraising evident on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in turnout and partisan registration that have held through multiple election cycles. The resulting trader consensus around a 95% Democratic outcome mirrors these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from historical district behavior.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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