Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong fundraising—$1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March—and the district's R+8 partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 52% to retain Maryland's 1st Congressional District seat. However, the Democratic Party's 41.5% implied probability reflects a competitive outlook driven by recruitment of viable challengers like Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, amid criticism of Harris's record including his role in 2020 election challenges. Recent April reporting highlighted Democrats prioritizing the general election matchup over their crowded primary, with June 23 primaries approaching to determine nominees in this closely contested race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
54%
Democratic Party
42%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,242 KL.
54%
Democratic Party
$2,740 KL.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong fundraising—$1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March—and the district's R+8 partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 52% to retain Maryland's 1st Congressional District seat. However, the Democratic Party's 41.5% implied probability reflects a competitive outlook driven by recruitment of viable challengers like Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, amid criticism of Harris's record including his role in 2020 election challenges. Recent April reporting highlighted Democrats prioritizing the general election matchup over their crowded primary, with June 23 primaries approaching to determine nominees in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,982Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong fundraising—$1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March—and the district's R+8 partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 52% to retain Maryland's 1st Congressional District seat. However, the Democratic Party's 41.5% implied probability reflects a competitive outlook driven by recruitment of viable challengers like Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, amid criticism of Harris's record including his role in 2020 election challenges. Recent April reporting highlighted Democrats prioritizing the general election matchup over their crowded primary, with June 23 primaries approaching to determine nominees in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,982Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong fundraising—$1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March—and the district's R+8 partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 52% to retain Maryland's 1st Congressional District seat. However, the Democratic Party's 41.5% implied probability reflects a competitive outlook driven by recruitment of viable challengers like Dan Schwartz, who raised over $500,000, amid criticism of Harris's record including his role in 2020 election challenges. Recent April reporting highlighted Democrats prioritizing the general election matchup over their crowded primary, with June 23 primaries approaching to determine nominees in this closely contested race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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