Xi Jinping's extensive military purges, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations, have reinforced perceptions of centralized control within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. These actions, part of a multi-year anti-corruption campaign that has removed over 100 senior officers, eliminated potential factional challenges and left the CMC with minimal independent figures alongside Xi. Unverified rumors of plots against the leadership circulated on social media but lacked credible confirmation from official or established reporting, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of a coup attempt before 2027. While opaque succession dynamics or unforeseen crises could introduce uncertainty, the absence of organized resistance or verified challenges supports the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
$139,231 KL.
$139,231 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$139,231 KL.
$139,231 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive military purges, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations, have reinforced perceptions of centralized control within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. These actions, part of a multi-year anti-corruption campaign that has removed over 100 senior officers, eliminated potential factional challenges and left the CMC with minimal independent figures alongside Xi. Unverified rumors of plots against the leadership circulated on social media but lacked credible confirmation from official or established reporting, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of a coup attempt before 2027. While opaque succession dynamics or unforeseen crises could introduce uncertainty, the absence of organized resistance or verified challenges supports the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$139,231Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive military purges, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations, have reinforced perceptions of centralized control within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. These actions, part of a multi-year anti-corruption campaign that has removed over 100 senior officers, eliminated potential factional challenges and left the CMC with minimal independent figures alongside Xi. Unverified rumors of plots against the leadership circulated on social media but lacked credible confirmation from official or established reporting, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of a coup attempt before 2027. While opaque succession dynamics or unforeseen crises could introduce uncertainty, the absence of organized resistance or verified challenges supports the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$139,231Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's extensive military purges, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations, have reinforced perceptions of centralized control within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. These actions, part of a multi-year anti-corruption campaign that has removed over 100 senior officers, eliminated potential factional challenges and left the CMC with minimal independent figures alongside Xi. Unverified rumors of plots against the leadership circulated on social media but lacked credible confirmation from official or established reporting, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of a coup attempt before 2027. While opaque succession dynamics or unforeseen crises could introduce uncertainty, the absence of organized resistance or verified challenges supports the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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