Trump’s second term has featured strong alignment between the president, Vice President JD Vance, and a Republican Cabinet, creating a high procedural barrier under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment. Invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by two-thirds majorities in both chambers of a GOP-controlled Congress—an outcome viewed by traders as politically unrealistic absent broad Republican defections. Democratic calls for removal during the 2026 Iran conflict produced only non-binding resolutions and a failed commission bill, with no supporting action from Trump allies. Trump’s May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive results, reinforcing perceptions of fitness. While a sudden incapacitating health event or dramatic erosion of Cabinet loyalty could theoretically alter the trajectory before 2027, current institutional and partisan dynamics sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against removal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
$49,857 KL.
$49,857 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$49,857 KL.
$49,857 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s second term has featured strong alignment between the president, Vice President JD Vance, and a Republican Cabinet, creating a high procedural barrier under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment. Invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by two-thirds majorities in both chambers of a GOP-controlled Congress—an outcome viewed by traders as politically unrealistic absent broad Republican defections. Democratic calls for removal during the 2026 Iran conflict produced only non-binding resolutions and a failed commission bill, with no supporting action from Trump allies. Trump’s May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive results, reinforcing perceptions of fitness. While a sudden incapacitating health event or dramatic erosion of Cabinet loyalty could theoretically alter the trajectory before 2027, current institutional and partisan dynamics sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$49,857Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s second term has featured strong alignment between the president, Vice President JD Vance, and a Republican Cabinet, creating a high procedural barrier under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment. Invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by two-thirds majorities in both chambers of a GOP-controlled Congress—an outcome viewed by traders as politically unrealistic absent broad Republican defections. Democratic calls for removal during the 2026 Iran conflict produced only non-binding resolutions and a failed commission bill, with no supporting action from Trump allies. Trump’s May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive results, reinforcing perceptions of fitness. While a sudden incapacitating health event or dramatic erosion of Cabinet loyalty could theoretically alter the trajectory before 2027, current institutional and partisan dynamics sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Khối lượng
$49,857Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term has featured strong alignment between the president, Vice President JD Vance, and a Republican Cabinet, creating a high procedural barrier under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment. Invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by two-thirds majorities in both chambers of a GOP-controlled Congress—an outcome viewed by traders as politically unrealistic absent broad Republican defections. Democratic calls for removal during the 2026 Iran conflict produced only non-binding resolutions and a failed commission bill, with no supporting action from Trump allies. Trump’s May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive results, reinforcing perceptions of fitness. While a sudden incapacitating health event or dramatic erosion of Cabinet loyalty could theoretically alter the trajectory before 2027, current institutional and partisan dynamics sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against removal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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