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Політика·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Політика·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

$12,236 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$12,236 Обс.

Polymarket

4800+

$3,943 Обс.

11%

4900+

$4,981 Обс.

7%

5000+

$3,370 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Recent federal immigration enforcement operations in the New York City area have produced sustained arrest activity targeting criminal noncitizens, with over 5,500 recorded between January 2025 and March 2026 amid expanded priorities. However, a May 2026 federal court order now restricts ICE arrests at key Manhattan immigration courthouses that previously accounted for roughly half of local actions, while New York’s early June ban on 287(g) agreements limits partnerships with state and local agencies. Ongoing targeted operations continue into mid-June, yet these procedural constraints introduce uncertainty for cumulative totals through the final weeks of the month. Traders assess whether enforcement momentum can offset the reduced operational access before the June 30 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$12,236
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Recent federal immigration enforcement operations in the New York City area have produced sustained arrest activity targeting criminal noncitizens, with over 5,500 recorded between January 2025 and March 2026 amid expanded priorities. However, a May 2026 federal court order now restricts ICE arrests at key Manhattan immigration courthouses that previously accounted for roughly half of local actions, while New York’s early June ban on 287(g) agreements limits partnerships with state and local agencies. Ongoing targeted operations continue into mid-June, yet these procedural constraints introduce uncertainty for cumulative totals through the final weeks of the month. Traders assess whether enforcement momentum can offset the reduced operational access before the June 30 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$12,236
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «4800+» з 11%, далі «4900+» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?» згенерував $12.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 29, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?» — «4800+» з 11%. Наступний — «4900+» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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