The Trump administration's interior enforcement push, including record ICE detention levels exceeding 73,000 and arrest rates that averaged over 1,000 daily earlier in the year before moderating, has driven removals toward several hundred thousand annually. Expanded use of voluntary departures and third-country agreements has accelerated exits without full hearings, yet logistical limits on detention beds, court backlogs, and industry concerns over workforce impacts have tempered the pace below the stated 1-million target. With fiscal 2026 removals already exceeding 234,000 by April and ongoing pressure from enforcement priorities, trader consensus clusters tightly around 300-500k as participants weigh whether recent operational gains and policy signals will sustain momentum or face mid-year constraints.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many people will Trump deport in 2026?
400-500k 35%
300-400k 32%
200-300k 16%
500-600k 6.3%
$105,520 Обс.
$105,520 Обс.
<200k
2%
200-300k
16%
300-400k
32%
400-500k
35%
500-600k
6%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
400-500k 35%
300-400k 32%
200-300k 16%
500-600k 6.3%
$105,520 Обс.
$105,520 Обс.
<200k
2%
200-300k
16%
300-400k
32%
400-500k
35%
500-600k
6%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump administration's interior enforcement push, including record ICE detention levels exceeding 73,000 and arrest rates that averaged over 1,000 daily earlier in the year before moderating, has driven removals toward several hundred thousand annually. Expanded use of voluntary departures and third-country agreements has accelerated exits without full hearings, yet logistical limits on detention beds, court backlogs, and industry concerns over workforce impacts have tempered the pace below the stated 1-million target. With fiscal 2026 removals already exceeding 234,000 by April and ongoing pressure from enforcement priorities, trader consensus clusters tightly around 300-500k as participants weigh whether recent operational gains and policy signals will sustain momentum or face mid-year constraints.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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