Mary Peltola’s entry into the race against incumbent Dan Sullivan has kept the 2026 Alaska Senate contest highly competitive, with traders assigning near-even probabilities amid ranked-choice voting and a top-four primary scheduled for August 18. Peltola’s substantial fundraising edge, including over $6.9 million raised since April compared to Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, combined with her prior statewide victories and grassroots organizing, has supported her narrow market lead. Sullivan benefits from incumbency advantages and Alaska’s Republican lean, though limited primary opposition and ballot complications involving another candidate named Dan Sullivan have added procedural uncertainty. Recent polls reflect this balance, with results fluctuating within a few points and no decisive separation emerging ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Обс.
$393,235 Обс.

Mary Peltola
51%

Dan Sullivan
49%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Обс.
$393,235 Обс.

Mary Peltola
51%

Dan Sullivan
49%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola’s entry into the race against incumbent Dan Sullivan has kept the 2026 Alaska Senate contest highly competitive, with traders assigning near-even probabilities amid ranked-choice voting and a top-four primary scheduled for August 18. Peltola’s substantial fundraising edge, including over $6.9 million raised since April compared to Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, combined with her prior statewide victories and grassroots organizing, has supported her narrow market lead. Sullivan benefits from incumbency advantages and Alaska’s Republican lean, though limited primary opposition and ballot complications involving another candidate named Dan Sullivan have added procedural uncertainty. Recent polls reflect this balance, with results fluctuating within a few points and no decisive separation emerging ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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