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Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 57%

Dan Sullivan 36%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$319,148 Обс.

Mary Peltola 57%

Dan Sullivan 36%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$319,148 Обс.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$157,830 Обс.

57%

icon for Dan Sullivan

Dan Sullivan

$88,125 Обс.

36%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$20,566 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$32,987 Обс.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$19,639 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 36% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting a string of polls since October 2025 showing her lead, including an April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters where she prevailed 50%-44% after ranked-choice voting simulations. Peltola's strong Q1 fundraising—four times Sullivan's haul—despite trailing cash on hand, plus her May announcement of 4,500 volunteers and new affordability platform, signal building momentum among independents and rural voters in Alaska's top-four jungle primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 ranked-choice general. Sullivan's incumbency advantage persists, but national Democratic interest elevates this battleground.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$319,148
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 36% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting a string of polls since October 2025 showing her lead, including an April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters where she prevailed 50%-44% after ranked-choice voting simulations. Peltola's strong Q1 fundraising—four times Sullivan's haul—despite trailing cash on hand, plus her May announcement of 4,500 volunteers and new affordability platform, signal building momentum among independents and rural voters in Alaska's top-four jungle primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 ranked-choice general. Sullivan's incumbency advantage persists, but national Democratic interest elevates this battleground.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$319,148
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Alaska Senate Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mary Peltola» з 57%, далі «Dan Sullivan» з 36%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Alaska Senate Election Winner» згенерував $319.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Alaska Senate Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» — «Mary Peltola» з 57%. Наступний — «Dan Sullivan» з 36%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.