Trump's status as the incumbent president, inaugurated in January 2025 after the 2024 election, anchors the market's assessment that he will serve through the end of 2026. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of active impeachment proceedings or formal removal processes under the 25th Amendment limit pathways for an early exit. No credible reports of incapacitating health issues or public statements signaling resignation have emerged. The 2026 midterm elections may shift legislative leverage but fall short of the supermajorities historically required to force departure. Traders view these institutional and political barriers as durable, consistent with precedents for presidents completing terms absent acute crises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$8,476,722 Обс.
$8,476,722 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
$8,476,722 Обс.
$8,476,722 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's status as the incumbent president, inaugurated in January 2025 after the 2024 election, anchors the market's assessment that he will serve through the end of 2026. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of active impeachment proceedings or formal removal processes under the 25th Amendment limit pathways for an early exit. No credible reports of incapacitating health issues or public statements signaling resignation have emerged. The 2026 midterm elections may shift legislative leverage but fall short of the supermajorities historically required to force departure. Traders view these institutional and political barriers as durable, consistent with precedents for presidents completing terms absent acute crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,476,722Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's status as the incumbent president, inaugurated in January 2025 after the 2024 election, anchors the market's assessment that he will serve through the end of 2026. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of active impeachment proceedings or formal removal processes under the 25th Amendment limit pathways for an early exit. No credible reports of incapacitating health issues or public statements signaling resignation have emerged. The 2026 midterm elections may shift legislative leverage but fall short of the supermajorities historically required to force departure. Traders view these institutional and political barriers as durable, consistent with precedents for presidents completing terms absent acute crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,476,782Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's status as the incumbent president, inaugurated in January 2025 after the 2024 election, anchors the market's assessment that he will serve through the end of 2026. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of active impeachment proceedings or formal removal processes under the 25th Amendment limit pathways for an early exit. No credible reports of incapacitating health issues or public statements signaling resignation have emerged. The 2026 midterm elections may shift legislative leverage but fall short of the supermajorities historically required to force departure. Traders view these institutional and political barriers as durable, consistent with precedents for presidents completing terms absent acute crises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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