**Trump remains firmly in office through the remainder of his term ending in January 2029, with removal before 2027 viewed as highly improbable by traders.** Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple articles introduced in 2026 over policy disputes and statements related to the Iran conflict. Invocation of the 25th Amendment has been discussed amid concerns over presidential statements and decision-making during the Iran situation, but it requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to initiate, followed by two-thirds votes in both chambers—thresholds that lack support in the current political environment. Approval ratings have declined amid the ongoing Iran developments, economic pressures, and midterm uncertainty, yet no viable bipartisan coalition or internal administration moves exist for removal. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control and enable further investigations, but historical patterns and Senate requirements make conviction and removal before 2027 remote. Traders price these structural and political barriers as decisive, with no recent developments altering the outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
6% шанс
$10,953,911 Обс.
$10,953,911 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Так
6% шанс
$10,953,911 Обс.
$10,953,911 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump remains firmly in office through the remainder of his term ending in January 2029, with removal before 2027 viewed as highly improbable by traders.**
Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple articles introduced in 2026 over policy disputes and statements related to the Iran conflict. Invocation of the 25th Amendment has been discussed amid concerns over presidential statements and decision-making during the Iran situation, but it requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to initiate, followed by two-thirds votes in both chambers—thresholds that lack support in the current political environment.
Approval ratings have declined amid the ongoing Iran developments, economic pressures, and midterm uncertainty, yet no viable bipartisan coalition or internal administration moves exist for removal. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control and enable further investigations, but historical patterns and Senate requirements make conviction and removal before 2027 remote. Traders price these structural and political barriers as decisive, with no recent developments altering the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,953,911Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump remains firmly in office through the remainder of his term ending in January 2029, with removal before 2027 viewed as highly improbable by traders.**
Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple articles introduced in 2026 over policy disputes and statements related to the Iran conflict. Invocation of the 25th Amendment has been discussed amid concerns over presidential statements and decision-making during the Iran situation, but it requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to initiate, followed by two-thirds votes in both chambers—thresholds that lack support in the current political environment.
Approval ratings have declined amid the ongoing Iran developments, economic pressures, and midterm uncertainty, yet no viable bipartisan coalition or internal administration moves exist for removal. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control and enable further investigations, but historical patterns and Senate requirements make conviction and removal before 2027 remote. Traders price these structural and political barriers as decisive, with no recent developments altering the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$10,953,911Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trump remains firmly in office through the remainder of his term ending in January 2029, with removal before 2027 viewed as highly improbable by traders.** Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple articles introduced in 2026 over policy disputes and statements related to the Iran conflict. Invocation of the 25th Amendment has been discussed amid concerns over presidential statements and decision-making during the Iran situation, but it requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to initiate, followed by two-thirds votes in both chambers—thresholds that lack support in the current political environment. Approval ratings have declined amid the ongoing Iran developments, economic pressures, and midterm uncertainty, yet no viable bipartisan coalition or internal administration moves exist for removal. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control and enable further investigations, but historical patterns and Senate requirements make conviction and removal before 2027 remote. Traders price these structural and political barriers as decisive, with no recent developments altering the outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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