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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Politics·Trump

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Politics·Trump

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

55% шанс
Polymarket

$13,918 Обс.

55% шанс
Polymarket

$13,918 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$13,918
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$13,918
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 50% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 50¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 50%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» згенерував $13.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 31, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» — 50% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 50% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.