Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Обс.
$48,275 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
61%
China
20%
Russia
5%
Gulf country
5%
United States
5%
Turkey
3%
Belarus
2%
Switzerland
2%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Обс.
$48,275 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$6,312 Обс.
61%
China
$10,324 Обс.
20%
Russia
$3,096 Обс.
5%
Gulf country
$2,215 Обс.
5%
United States
$2,337 Обс.
5%
Turkey
$3,232 Обс.
3%
Belarus
$2,737 Обс.
2%
Switzerland
$2,740 Обс.
2%
Other
$3,193 Обс.
1%
Other EU country
$2,197 Обс.
1%
South Korea
$1,943 Обс.
1%
Ukraine
$1,967 Обс.
1%
Finland
$2,104 Обс.
1%
Japan
$1,963 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$1,914 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$48,275Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$48,275Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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