Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations through mid-2026, marked by persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, drive the 95.5% trader consensus against a referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian martial law remains extended into late 2026, legally constraining any national vote, while intermittent U.S. mediation has yielded no mutually acceptable framework. Recent Kremlin statements confirm no immediate resumption of substantive talks. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough producing a ratified deal, or a significant battlefield shift prompting renewed negotiations, represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome in the remaining months of 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
5% шанс
$63,449 Обс.
$63,449 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
5% шанс
$63,449 Обс.
$63,449 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations through mid-2026, marked by persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, drive the 95.5% trader consensus against a referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian martial law remains extended into late 2026, legally constraining any national vote, while intermittent U.S. mediation has yielded no mutually acceptable framework. Recent Kremlin statements confirm no immediate resumption of substantive talks. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough producing a ratified deal, or a significant battlefield shift prompting renewed negotiations, represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$63,449Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations through mid-2026, marked by persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, drive the 95.5% trader consensus against a referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian martial law remains extended into late 2026, legally constraining any national vote, while intermittent U.S. mediation has yielded no mutually acceptable framework. Recent Kremlin statements confirm no immediate resumption of substantive talks. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough producing a ratified deal, or a significant battlefield shift prompting renewed negotiations, represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$63,449Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations through mid-2026, marked by persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, drive the 95.5% trader consensus against a referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian martial law remains extended into late 2026, legally constraining any national vote, while intermittent U.S. mediation has yielded no mutually acceptable framework. Recent Kremlin statements confirm no immediate resumption of substantive talks. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough producing a ratified deal, or a significant battlefield shift prompting renewed negotiations, represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome in the remaining months of 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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