Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUkraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
$12,248 Обс.
$12,248 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$12,248 Обс.
$12,248 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,248Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,248Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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