Russia and Ukraine have conducted several rounds of U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in early 2026, including sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, yet these produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees for Ukraine. Russian officials continue to condition any resumption on maximalist demands tied to battlefield gains and prior proposals, while Ukrainian leaders emphasize sovereignty and European involvement. In mid-July, the Kremlin stated there are no immediate prospects for renewed negotiations despite openness to the concept. Brief holiday ceasefires earlier in the year collapsed quickly amid ongoing strikes and drone attacks. European diplomatic initiatives, including joint statements from the UK, France, and Germany, have sought to shape the agenda, but alignment among all parties remains limited. These stalled efforts and persistent divergences explain the market's pricing of later resolution windows as more probable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$298,213 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
30%
December 31
62%
$298,213 Обс.
September 30
$151,673 Обс.
30%
December 31
$127,828 Обс.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have conducted several rounds of U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in early 2026, including sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, yet these produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees for Ukraine. Russian officials continue to condition any resumption on maximalist demands tied to battlefield gains and prior proposals, while Ukrainian leaders emphasize sovereignty and European involvement. In mid-July, the Kremlin stated there are no immediate prospects for renewed negotiations despite openness to the concept. Brief holiday ceasefires earlier in the year collapsed quickly amid ongoing strikes and drone attacks. European diplomatic initiatives, including joint statements from the UK, France, and Germany, have sought to shape the agenda, but alignment among all parties remains limited. These stalled efforts and persistent divergences explain the market's pricing of later resolution windows as more probable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$298,213Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have conducted several rounds of U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in early 2026, including sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, yet these produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees for Ukraine. Russian officials continue to condition any resumption on maximalist demands tied to battlefield gains and prior proposals, while Ukrainian leaders emphasize sovereignty and European involvement. In mid-July, the Kremlin stated there are no immediate prospects for renewed negotiations despite openness to the concept. Brief holiday ceasefires earlier in the year collapsed quickly amid ongoing strikes and drone attacks. European diplomatic initiatives, including joint statements from the UK, France, and Germany, have sought to shape the agenda, but alignment among all parties remains limited. These stalled efforts and persistent divergences explain the market's pricing of later resolution windows as more probable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$298,213Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia and Ukraine have conducted several rounds of U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in early 2026, including sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, yet these produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees for Ukraine. Russian officials continue to condition any resumption on maximalist demands tied to battlefield gains and prior proposals, while Ukrainian leaders emphasize sovereignty and European involvement. In mid-July, the Kremlin stated there are no immediate prospects for renewed negotiations despite openness to the concept. Brief holiday ceasefires earlier in the year collapsed quickly amid ongoing strikes and drone attacks. European diplomatic initiatives, including joint statements from the UK, France, and Germany, have sought to shape the agenda, but alignment among all parties remains limited. These stalled efforts and persistent divergences explain the market's pricing of later resolution windows as more probable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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