Traders assign a 97.8% probability to no handshake between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30 because direct bilateral negotiations remain stalled despite renewed U.S. mediation. Putin has stated he would meet only after a comprehensive peace agreement is finalized, while recent battlefield developments—including Russia’s May 14 drone strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian counterstrikes on Russian energy infrastructure—have reinforced mutual distrust following the breakdown of the brief May 9–11 ceasefire. Low-level contacts such as the May 15 prisoner exchange continue, yet no summit date or framework exists within the narrow remaining window. An unforeseen multilateral breakthrough or rapid territorial concession could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$17,426 Обс.
$17,426 Обс.
$17,426 Обс.
$17,426 Обс.
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.8% probability to no handshake between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30 because direct bilateral negotiations remain stalled despite renewed U.S. mediation. Putin has stated he would meet only after a comprehensive peace agreement is finalized, while recent battlefield developments—including Russia’s May 14 drone strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian counterstrikes on Russian energy infrastructure—have reinforced mutual distrust following the breakdown of the brief May 9–11 ceasefire. Low-level contacts such as the May 15 prisoner exchange continue, yet no summit date or framework exists within the narrow remaining window. An unforeseen multilateral breakthrough or rapid territorial concession could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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