United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 62%
Нові люди (NL) 29.1%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.5%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 3.9%
$8,175,157 Обс.
$8,175,157 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
62%

Нові люди (NL)
29%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
4%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 62%
Нові люди (NL) 29.1%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.5%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 3.9%
$8,175,157 Обс.
$8,175,157 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
62%

Нові люди (NL)
29%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
4%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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