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icon for Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Політика·International Election Props

Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?

icon for Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Політика·International Election Props

Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?

Єдина Росія (ЄР) 99.6%

Нові люди (NL) <1%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) <1%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП) <1%

Polymarket

$50,877,330 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР) 99.6%

Нові люди (NL) <1%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) <1%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП) <1%

Polymarket

$50,877,330 Обс.

icon for Єдина Росія (ЄР)

Єдина Росія (ЄР)

$23,485,012 Обс.

100%

icon for Нові люди (NL)

Нові люди (NL)

$5,872,853 Обс.

<1%

icon for Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)

$3,862,432 Обс.

<1%

icon for Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)

$4,025,532 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)

$5,577,403 Обс.

<1%

icon for Родіна

Родіна

$3,204,302 Обс.

<1%

icon for Громадянська платформа (ГП)

Громадянська платформа (ГП)

$1,410,336 Обс.

<1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$3,439,460 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia’s commanding position stems from Russia’s tightly controlled political system, where the ruling party aligned with President Vladimir Putin benefits from the mixed electoral framework of proportional representation and single-member districts that amplifies its advantages. Genuine opposition faces exclusion, as seen with the barring of parties like Yabloko, while systemic parties such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within Kremlin boundaries and support major policies including the Ukraine conflict. Recent developments, including the September 18–20, 2026, parliamentary vote conducted amid drone strikes and cyberattacks, produced preliminary results showing United Russia at approximately 57–58% and on track for a supermajority exceeding 300 seats. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and mobilization through state institutions, though final Central Election Commission tallies or verified irregularities in electronic or multi-day voting could theoretically alter seat distributions.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$50,877,330
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia’s commanding position stems from Russia’s tightly controlled political system, where the ruling party aligned with President Vladimir Putin benefits from the mixed electoral framework of proportional representation and single-member districts that amplifies its advantages. Genuine opposition faces exclusion, as seen with the barring of parties like Yabloko, while systemic parties such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within Kremlin boundaries and support major policies including the Ukraine conflict. Recent developments, including the September 18–20, 2026, parliamentary vote conducted amid drone strikes and cyberattacks, produced preliminary results showing United Russia at approximately 57–58% and on track for a supermajority exceeding 300 seats. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and mobilization through state institutions, though final Central Election Commission tallies or verified irregularities in electronic or multi-day voting could theoretically alter seat distributions.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$50,877,330
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%
icon for Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

100%
Так
icon for Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

84%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Єдина Росія (ЄР)» з 100%, далі «Нові люди (NL)» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» згенерував $50.9 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» — «Єдина Росія (ЄР)» з 100%. Наступний — «Нові люди (NL)» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.