Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling advantage over the PSOE heading into Spain’s next general election due by August 2027. Pedro Sánchez, the incumbent at 14.8%, governs through a fragile minority coalition reliant on regional parties, amid ongoing pressure from corruption investigations including the Koldo affair and recent convictions tied to former ministers. Recent developments such as the Ceuta migrant crisis have intensified opposition criticism of government management while highlighting legislative paralysis and budget delays. Traders price in Feijóo’s stronger path to forming a workable majority or coalition, reflecting broader shifts in voter sentiment captured in multiple 2026 surveys. The market resolution window extends to March 2028, allowing for potential early elections or post-vote negotiations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%
$131,189 Обс.
$131,189 Обс.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%
$131,189 Обс.
$131,189 Обс.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling advantage over the PSOE heading into Spain’s next general election due by August 2027. Pedro Sánchez, the incumbent at 14.8%, governs through a fragile minority coalition reliant on regional parties, amid ongoing pressure from corruption investigations including the Koldo affair and recent convictions tied to former ministers. Recent developments such as the Ceuta migrant crisis have intensified opposition criticism of government management while highlighting legislative paralysis and budget delays. Traders price in Feijóo’s stronger path to forming a workable majority or coalition, reflecting broader shifts in voter sentiment captured in multiple 2026 surveys. The market resolution window extends to March 2028, allowing for potential early elections or post-vote negotiations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання