Chang San-cheng, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taoyuan seeking re-election in the November 2026 local elections, holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting his established local position and early polling leads over potential Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP's April 2026 nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum, with Huang priced at just 2.1% amid limited reported movement in voter surveys or campaign events since the July KMT candidate rally. Other listed contenders remain at minimal or placeholder levels, underscoring the race's focus on the two major parties' standard-bearers and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwan's special municipality contests.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChang San-cheng 89%
Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%
Perng Shaw-jiin <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chang San-cheng
89%
Huang Shih-chieh
2%
Perng Shaw-jiin
<1%
Chang San-cheng 89%
Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%
Perng Shaw-jiin <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chang San-cheng
$2,769 Обс.
89%
Huang Shih-chieh
$1,374 Обс.
2%
Perng Shaw-jiin
$1,176 Обс.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taoyuan seeking re-election in the November 2026 local elections, holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting his established local position and early polling leads over potential Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP's April 2026 nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum, with Huang priced at just 2.1% amid limited reported movement in voter surveys or campaign events since the July KMT candidate rally. Other listed contenders remain at minimal or placeholder levels, underscoring the race's focus on the two major parties' standard-bearers and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwan's special municipality contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,319Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taoyuan seeking re-election in the November 2026 local elections, holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting his established local position and early polling leads over potential Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP's April 2026 nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum, with Huang priced at just 2.1% amid limited reported movement in voter surveys or campaign events since the July KMT candidate rally. Other listed contenders remain at minimal or placeholder levels, underscoring the race's focus on the two major parties' standard-bearers and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwan's special municipality contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$5,319Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chang San-cheng, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taoyuan seeking re-election in the November 2026 local elections, holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting his established local position and early polling leads over potential Democratic Progressive Party challengers. The DPP's April 2026 nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum, with Huang priced at just 2.1% amid limited reported movement in voter surveys or campaign events since the July KMT candidate rally. Other listed contenders remain at minimal or placeholder levels, underscoring the race's focus on the two major parties' standard-bearers and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwan's special municipality contests.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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