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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Політика·Вибори у Франції

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Політика·Вибори у Франції

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

НОВЕ
Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$3,934 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$232 Обс.

16%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$831 Обс.

68%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Обс.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$181 Обс.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$15 Обс.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Обс.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Обс.

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Обс.

3%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9 Обс.

16%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Обс.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Обс.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Обс.

14%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$354 Обс.

45%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Обс.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$100 Обс.

4%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$83 Обс.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Обс.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Обс.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$210 Обс.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$105 Обс.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Обс.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Обс.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Обс.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Обс.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Обс.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Обс.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Обс.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 Обс.

6%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 Обс.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Обс.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Обс.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Обс.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Обс.

33%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Обс.

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Обс.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Обс.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Обс.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 30-35 percent and is widely viewed by traders as the frontrunner to reach the April 2027 runoff, reflecting the party's sustained strength after strong municipal showings. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's decision to run again for La France Insoumise has boosted far-left support into double digits, raising the possibility of an extremes matchup, while center-right figures like Édouard Philippe compete for the remaining space amid Macron's ineligibility. Marine Le Pen's July 2026 appeal on her embezzlement conviction and office ban remains a key variable that could solidify Bardella as the sole RN contender. Fragmented centrist and moderate-left blocs, ongoing coalition instability, and the two-round system's emphasis on broad second-round appeal continue to shape market pricing around these frontrunners.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$3,934
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 30-35 percent and is widely viewed by traders as the frontrunner to reach the April 2027 runoff, reflecting the party's sustained strength after strong municipal showings. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's decision to run again for La France Insoumise has boosted far-left support into double digits, raising the possibility of an extremes matchup, while center-right figures like Édouard Philippe compete for the remaining space amid Macron's ineligibility. Marine Le Pen's July 2026 appeal on her embezzlement conviction and office ban remains a key variable that could solidify Bardella as the sole RN contender. Fragmented centrist and moderate-left blocs, ongoing coalition instability, and the two-round system's emphasis on broad second-round appeal continue to shape market pricing around these frontrunners.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$3,934
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 37 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jordan Bardella» з 68%, далі «Édouard Philippe» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», перегляньте 37 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Jordan Bardella» з 68%. Наступний — «Édouard Philippe» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.